CSKA Moscow v Sporting Betting Tips August 26th 2015
Tip #1: Back Sporting to qualify @ 1.50 with bet365.com
Tip #2: Back Draw No Bet Sporting @ 2.62 with bet365.com
Our recommended offer for August is £200 first deposit bet* from Bet365.com. *T&C apply
CSKA Moscow v Sporting Betting Tips: Match Preview
After the loss with 1-2 in Portugal, CSKA Moscow will be looking for a home victory to get in the Champions League groups this season. Performance record 79% with just one loss (the one against Sporting) in the last 7 games, with 5 victories and 1 draw.
The team however has trouble in Europe, especially at home being without a victory in the past 6 matches W0-D3-L3. Last home victory was back in 2013 against Viktoria Plzeň with 3-2, so 2 years without a home victory is quite a long streak.
CSKA Moscow has also a lot of trouble against Portuguese opponents, losing 3 out of the last 4 home encounters. All three defeats came from Porto, and the only success was back in 2005, 10 years ago against Benfica with 2-0.
While this is CSKA Moscow’s first Champions League play-off, and the first-leg loss, 1-2 isn’t such a bad score and it leaves room for advancement to the group stage. Priced as a favorite @ 2.00 all the Russian team needs is a 1-0 victory.
We find backing CSKA a bit risky, considering their poor European home record and their poor performance against Portuguese teams. This is the reason the team has odds to qualify @ 2.50. If there’s a long shot we would back this is it.
Sporting Lisbon come in this match as a winner from last week’s first leg, though 2-1 isn’t that great of a score. Performance rating @ 100% winning 7 of the last 7 games, and looking promising to enter this season’s Champions League groups.
If there’s a weakness in the Portuguese team, it’s the away matches. Fourteen visits without a victory in Europe so far W0-D4-L10, with the last victory back in 2011, four years ago. Last two visits in Moscow were defeats followed by a draw against Spartak Moscow.
In season 2009/2010, Sporting participated in another Champions League play-off, getting eliminated by Fiorentina via away goals. The better team performance and more experience at this stage of the tournament, leads us to think that Sporting will manage to overcome the challenge in Moscow.
The team is priced to win this match @ 3.75, while the draw is @ 3.40. The Draw No Bet Sporting @ 2.62 looks promising, for a team with 7 consecutive victories. If this game is too much of an unknown, perhaps Sporting to qualify @ 1.50 is a much safer bet.
While CSKA Moscow has trouble with European home matches, Sporting has trouble with visits. Counting on the Portuguese perfect record in the last 7 games and their experience in the play-off stage, we are going to back Draw No Bet Sporting @ 2.62 with bet365.
Judged on past performance and the stakes to participate in Champions League, we believe Sporting can manage to avoid defeat, or achieve a favourable score by away goals and therefore backing Sporting to qualify @ 1.50 is another reasonable betting choice.